The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a series-closing win over the Colorado Rockies on Thursday night as they head into Game 1 of their series with the Kansas City Royals on Friday.
Rookie Bobby Miller (3-1, 4.13 ERA) is looking to turn things around for the Dodgers after allowing 13 runs in his last two starts. Miller started his career with four straight gems, but he’s allowed 17 hits and six walks in his last 9.2 innings of work.
Luckily, he has a cupcake matchup against the Kansas City offense that ranks 28th in OPS and 29th in runs scored this season.
Alec Marsh, a rookie right-hander, will make his Major League debut for the Royals in this game.
Los Angeles isn’t an easy opponent to face in a debut, and the Dodgers come into this game as major favorites in the latest odds:
Dodgers vs. Royals odds, run line and total
Dodgers vs. Royals prediction and pick
The Royals are 11-30 at home this season, so I don't think they get any boost for playing at Kauffman Stadium on Friday night.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers have dominated right-handed pitching this season, ranking sixth in the league in OPS against them. That’s an unwelcome sign for Marsh in his debut, and I wouldn't be shocked if he’s chased from this game early.
Plus, the Royals don't have a great bullpen behind him, ranking 29th in bullpen ERA this season (4.99). That’s actually worse than the Dodgers’ struggling pen (26th in bullpen ERA).
I am a little concerned with Miller, who has had control issues over his last two starts, but he still ranks in the 71st percentile in Major League Baseball in expected ERA this season.
Kansas City is a far inferior offense to the last two teams Miller faced (Houston and San Francisco), so I’ll trust him to bounce back in this spot.
Back the Dodgers to stay over .500 on the run for the season tonight.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.