Dodgers: Bullpen Decisions in Possible NLDS Matchups

LOS ANGELES, CA - SEPTEMBER 27: Kenley Jansen
LOS ANGELES, CA - SEPTEMBER 27: Kenley Jansen /
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KANSAS CITY, MO – SEPTEMBER 29: Jake Lamb /

Arizona Diamondbacks

With the exclusion of Kenley Jansen, who is guaranteed to make the playoff roster, here is how the Dodgers’ bullpen has fared lifetime against Arizona:

Player AB H Avg  HR RBI BB K
Avilan 44 12 0.270 3 9 8 9
Baez 87 15 0.172 5 13 9 28
Cingrani 44 10 0.227 2 6 5 17
Fields 53 12 0.226 2 7 4 14
Maeda 165 42 0.255 9 26 12 41
McCarthy 89 24 0.269 1 6 5 24
Morrow 41 10 0.243 1 4 8 11
Ryu 107 29 0.271 4 14 13 21
Stewart 35 8 0.228 1 3 3 9
Stripling 85 23 0.271 2 10 6 20
Watson 68 18 0.265 4 13 4 9
Wood 143 39 0.272 5 22 14 32

Looking at this chart, several things pop out immediately. The first (and perhaps most alarming) the thing is that Pedro Baez has absolutely dominated the Diamondbacks. In fact, he has the lowest batting average against them in his career out of all Dodger bullpen members not named Jansen. Baez has had a horrible two months, but these numbers are tough to ignore.

The other number that pops out is how well Tony Cingrani has done versus Tony Watson and Luis Avilan. In a battle of left-handed relieving, it seems as though two of these three guys will be making the playoff roster. (Avilan is supposed to miss the NLDS so Watson should make it). With a .227 batting average against and 17 strikeouts, Cingrani seems like the front-runner in an Arizona match-up.

Cingrani and Baez also match up great against the Diamondbacks’ starting roster* as well, both holding them to under .200 batting averages.

Cingrani has less experience against them but has held their starters to a .158 batting average. Based off of these stats, as well as whether or not Roberts carries a five-man bench, here are the probables:

Baez, Cingrani, Fields, Jansen, Maeda, Morrow, Stewart, Stripling, Watson

*Assuming a lineup that consists of Ianetta, Goldschmidt, Drury, Marte, Lamb, Peralta, Pollock and Martinez*