Dodgers playoff roster odds: Two relievers who are likely out

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PHOENIX, ARIZONA - SEPTEMBER 01: Relief pitcher Dylan Floro #51 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the MLB game at Chase Field on September 01, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Dodgers defeated the Diamondbacks 4-3. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - SEPTEMBER 01: Relief pitcher Dylan Floro #51 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the MLB game at Chase Field on September 01, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Dodgers defeated the Diamondbacks 4-3. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /
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The Dodgers’ playoff roster is beginning to take shape.  In the bullpen, there are two relievers who are likely already out of the running for a postseason roster spot.

With just three full weeks remaining in the regular season, the Dodgers postseason roster is starting to get clear.  Over the next few weeks, I will be going through the roster and estimating playoff roster odds for each player on the bubble.  First up is the bullpen and two relievers that are likely already out, barring injuries of course: Yimi Garcia and Dylan Floro.

Yimi Garcia is having a very odd statistical season for the Dodgers.  His 3.55 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and .172 average allowed show he has been pretty effective at limiting base hits.  He has also been much better in the second half of the season posting an ERA of 2.70.  The biggest problem for Yimi has been home runs allowed.

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Yimi has a home run rate of 2.31 HR/9IP.  Even with the “juiced” ball, that is far too high of a home run rate.  Garcia doesn’t allow many base hits but when he does they are damaging as his home run rate shows.  His 5.29 FIP is more indicative of how his season has really gone.  Despite a low WHIP and average allowed, Yimi should not be on the postseason roster.

Dylan Floro is the other Dodgers’ reliever who should be out of the running for a postseason roster spot.  Floro began the season as one of LA’s primary setup relievers.  He did not allow a single earned run until May 11th against the Washington Nationals.  Then he was hit hard by regression.  In May and June, he struggled, pitching to an ERA of 7.56 and 9.39.  He was then sent to AAA Oklahoma City.

Floro had pitched better since his return pitching to an ERA of 1.17 across 7 2/3 innings until last night’s outing where he allowed two runs.  The problem is that it’s far too late in the season and now multiple starting pitchers such as Tony Gonsolin, Kenta Maeda, Ross Stripling, and Dustin May are likely to take up right-handed relief spots in the bullpen.  Dylan became more of a right-handed specialist this season as left-handed batters hit .353 against him.

Next. Looking back at the Dodgers' first thirty home run club. dark

In 2020, Dylan Floro and Yimi Garcia will likely return to the Dodgers and have a chance to rebound and become reliable late-inning relievers, but this year both are on the outside looking in.  Yimi will need to limit home runs allowed next season and Floro will need to find a way to get left-handed batters out.

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