Dodgers: What Jimmy Nelson means for the rest of the pitching staff

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JUNE 20: Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches in the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park on June 20, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JUNE 20: Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches in the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park on June 20, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JUNE 20: Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches in the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park on June 20, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JUNE 20: Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers pitches in the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park on June 20, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

The Dodgers continued their ways of finding low-risk high reward pitchers with their addition of Jimmy Nelson.  What does it mean for the rest of the pitching staff?

Andrew Friedman is at it again.  The Dodgers’ President of Baseball Operations and acting GM signed starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson to a one year deal that comes with an option for 2021.  The money is minimal if the transaction doesn’t work out as Nelson is guaranteed just $1.25 million in 2020 with a $500K buyout for 2021.  So if the deal turns into fools gold, the Dodgers only risked $1.75 million for a potential high-reward move.

What makes Jimmy Nelson an intriguing flier for Los Angeles?  For one, Nelson is still relatively young as he will turn 31 years in June.  Jimmy was also the Brewers’ best starting pitcher before he hit injuries including his slide at first base that wiped out his entire 2018 season.  While Nelson’s 6.95 ERA in 2019 doesn’t instill any confidence, he did battle soreness and any pitcher coming off a long layoff will struggle at first.

There is a chance this turns into another injury-plagued project that doesn’t pan out but there is also a chance this low-risk move, ends up the next big move that puts the Dodger rotation or bullpen over the top.  Here is what Jimmy Nelson could mean to LA’s rotation and starting rotation in 2020.

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JUNE 05: Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws a pitch during the first inning against the Miami Marlins at Miller Park on June 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JUNE 05: Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws a pitch during the first inning against the Miami Marlins at Miller Park on June 05, 2019 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) /

Can Jimmy Nelson crack the Dodger rotation?

As the Dodgers currently stand, their rotation figures to include three locks which are Walker Buehler, Clayton Kershaw, and Kenta Maeda.  The two rotation spots after those three are likely to go to Julio Urias and Dustin May.  Ross Stripling and Tony Gonsolin will also get a fair run at the rotation spots and apparently so will Jimmy Nelson.

Although the Dodgers view Nelson as a bullpen project, he has enough upside that they are going to give him work as a starting pitcher in spring training.  If Nelson proves to be back to his previous form, there is a chance that he can bounce Dustin May or Julio Urias back to the bullpen.  Both Urias and May will likely have an innings limit of some kind in 2020 so the Dodgers could get ahead of that limit by starting one or both of them in the bullpen to begin the 2020 season.

Whether Nelson begins the season in the rotation or bullpen, like much of the pitching staff, there is a good chance he will pitch in multiple roles next season.  From spot starts to high leverage relief innings, Jimmy Nelson could be another Ross Stripling type utility pitcher.

Should Jimmy Nelson struggle in spring training he will be bounced to the bullpen and then the competition will really begin to heat up.

LOS ANGELES, CA – AUGUST 27: Pitcher Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws against Los Angeles Dodgers during the sixth inning at Dodgers Stadium August 27, 2017, in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA – AUGUST 27: Pitcher Jimmy Nelson #52 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws against Los Angeles Dodgers during the sixth inning at Dodgers Stadium August 27, 2017, in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images) /

Jimmy Nelson could be Brandon Morrow 2.0

The most likely scenario for the Dodgers is that Jimmy Nelson begins the 2020 season in the bullpen.  The spring training battle will be fierce, although Nelson has no options remaining so he is a lock for a spot on the opening day roster.  Kenley Jansen, Blake Treinen, Joe Kelly, Pedro Baez, and Adam Kolarek also figure to be locks for the opening day roster so that is six spots that could already be locked up for the opening day bullpen.  Ross Stripling will also be a lock for the pen if he doesn’t nail down a rotation spot.

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With the addition of the 26 man roster, the Dodgers will be able to carry a maximum of 13 pitchers so they could choose to go with an eight-man bullpen and five-man rotation.  If they do go with eight relievers, then that leaves just two spots open for Casey Sadler, Caleb Ferguson, Scott Alexander, Victor Gonzalez, and Dylan Floro among others.  Sadler is the only pitcher in the aforementioned group who is out of options so that could bump him onto the opening day roster.

As usual, the team the Dodgers start their season with is rarely the one it ends with so there should be plenty of roster changes throughout the season but to begin the season there will be a few relievers stuck in Triple-A Oklahoma City.  One other lefty in addition to Kolarek will likely make the opening day roster.  But back to the newest name on the roster which is Jimmy Nelson.

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The Dodgers are hoping that Jimmy Nelson ends up their next big reclamation project which has a better chance of happening in the bullpen.  Nelson’s fastball hovered around 95 MPH in 2017 but that dipped to 93 MPH in his return last season.  With more months of recovery and spring training to aid him, it wouldn’t be surprising if Nelson gets his velocity back up to the mid to upper 90s.  This was a very smart move for the Dodgers with little risk, and if all goes well, Nelson may end up Brandon Morrow 2.0.

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