Dodgers: 3 stats that prove we don’t appreciate Clayton Kershaw enough
We all know the Los Angeles Dodgers possess the most consistently great pitcher in the world in Clayton Kershaw, and have for the better part of a decade.
Even so, it still seems we could be appreciating his greatness more — and the rest of his numbers back it up.
Perhaps if we crowed a little louder, the perception across MLB wouldn’t be so incorrect? Rival fans think he’s slipping. Casuals who only watch the postseason seem to think he’s gettable.
Unfortunately for the rest of the baseball world, the 33-year-old Kershaw has basically been…just as untouchable these past few years as he ever was during his prime, which is…insane to think about.
Riding the wave of his first World Series championship, Kershaw has picked up right where he left off entering his 14th season in the Dodgers rotation (once again, for the people in the back: he’s 33!).
Since a bizarre Opening Day loss, he’s posted an insane line in five starts: 4-1, 1.16 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, .171 BA, and 37 Ks in 33 IP. After helping the Dodgers halt their miniature losing jag with a brilliant start Wednesday, it’s time we paid proper homage to one of the most consistent forces in baseball.
For all those who believe Kershaw “hasn’t been the same” since his Cy Young, or is still “un-clutch,” this list is for you. Tell your friends.
These 3 modern Clayton Kershaw stats are still insane. Dodgers legend.
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3. Dominance Since His Last Cy Young
Clayton Kershaw’s run of three-out-of-four Cy Youngs ended following the 2014 season when he finished an embarrassing third in the running in 2015 (boo this man!). If you need a refresher, that’s Cys in 2011, 2013 and 2014 with a second-place finish mixed in for the 2012 campaign.
That’s as locked-in as a pitcher can get. Heck, that’s as locked-in as anyone can be at any job, really.
Since that streak ended, though, wisdom has dictated that Kershaw isn’t quite the same pitcher anymore.
Well…maybe, since it’s impossible to be young forever, and we may never see a pitcher quite that perfect ever again. But in nearly 1,000 innings pitched since that last award was doled out, he’s been fairly remarkable. Kershaw’s ERA since the start of 2015? 2.36. Thanks for playing.
The only reason we don’t think of Kershaw as the “same pitcher” is because his prime numbers were so ridiculously gaudy. We may never see the likes of that 2014 season again from anyone — 21-3, 1.77 ERA, six complete games, 239 strikeouts in 198.1 innings pitched, and a wild 197 ERA+.
But how about 18-4, 2.31? That’s what he did in a full season in 2017. This year, he sports a 2.09 coming off a 2.16.
The same level of “spectacular”? Maybe not. But his regressive numbers still make him the most consistently great pitcher in baseball since 2014.
2. He’s Nearly the Best 7-Inning Shutout Pitcher in Wild Card Era
Longevity? Yeah, Kershaw can still get you that in spades.
In the modern “Wild Card” era, it’s rare for a pitcher to give you 7+ on a given day, and the pitchers of the past may scoff at this statistic, but Kershaw’s supposed reputation as a five-and-fly guy as he’s gotten older definitely does not hold water.
On Wednesday, the lefty completed seven innings or more without allowing a single run for the remarkable 55th time in his career (at age 33, remember). That puts him third in the Wild Card era, behind only Randy Johnson and Tim Hudson — who only outflank him by two and one, respectively.
Kershaw should catch both men by the end of the year, if not the end of the month. Chalk this one up as another record we didn’t expect Kershaw to hold, but one that he should make distinctly “his” by the time his career wraps up.
Robbed of a full season in 2020, which hurts for resume-building purposes, our ace didn’t add any of these to his docket whatsoever. In 2021, he’s only added Wednesday’s effort so far.
But using the years since his final Cy Young as our guide, Kershaw has averaged 3.4 starts of seven or more shutout innings per season as he’s aged. In 2015? He posted seven of them, with three coming in a row during a July stretch against the Phillies, Nationals and Mets we should never forget.
That streak featured two complete-game shutouts and an eight-inning affair, highlighted by 13, 14 and 11 strikeouts. Today’s aces don’t know what it’s like to be Clayton Kershaw…unless, of course, they are Clayton Kershaw.
1. His Breaking Ball is Somehow Getting Better as He Ages
It wouldn’t be a Clayton Kershaw list without shining a spotlight on his curveball, which is the type of “thing of beauty” baseball writers will try to communicate to their sons and grandchildren with poetic soliloquies for decades to come.
“You don’t understand,” they’ll say. “It flitted downward like a bird caught in a haboob.”
“That’s nice, dad, but I can just check it out on VR,” the futuristic kids will reply.
What you might not know about the historic pitch, though, was that it was potentially at its most fearsome point ever in Wednesday’s win over the Reds.
In that seven-inning start, Kershaw racked up 22 swings and misses on the pitch alone, tied for the most he’s ever recorded in a single outing.
The other two times he matched that mark were…last postseason against the overmatched Milwaukee Brewers and in 2015 against the San Francisco Giants, who were decidedly not in the midst of an even year at the time.
That Brewers start, FWIW, was eight innings long, so it seems Kershaw got even more efficient during the offseason.
So, when you brave the traffic and plunk down the cash at the Dodger Stadium gate, be very aware you’re still watching history whenever Kershaw takes the mound.
When you find a groove on your couch, know you’re about to watch a ruthlessly efficient outing from a future Hall of Famer and can probably make early dinner plans.
Even as the years pass, it’s still the same as it ever was.