Dodgers: 3 replacements for Dustin May after Tommy John surgery news
Things are very much not good for the Los Angeles Dodgers right now.
They’ve scored 64 runs over their last 16 games, and if you take out their two blowout victories that yielded 24 runs, then they’ve scored 40 runs in 14 of those games.
They’re 4-12 over that span. The worst in the National League.
And these are the reigning World Series champions we’re talking about.
The injury bug has hit them pretty hard, but to still possess a lineup with All-Star-caliber Major League players (Mookie Betts, Corey Seager, Justin Turner and Max Muncy are all still there!) and not be able to produce for this long is borderline unacceptable.
The worst part? The front office figured, “Hey, in the event our offense goes into an unthinkable drought, let’s just create the best starting rotation the sport may ever see? That’d be fun, right?”
So they signed Trevor Bauer to a record-breaking contract to join Walker Buehler, Clayton Kershaw, Julio Urias and Dustin May. But now May is done for the year after the team announced he would undergo Tommy John surgery in wake of his scary injury suffered this past Saturday.
Now, the rotation has an opening and the Dodgers need to fill it. We really don’t want to see bullpen games become a thing. Let’s take a look at some internal and external options to help alleviate the loss of May, who was providing elite production as a back-end starter.
These three Dustin May replacements could save the Dodgers’ rotation.
3. Josiah Gray
Look, we know, the Dodgers already said Josiah Gray would NOT be an option to fill the fifth spot in the rotation. But just because they said no right now, doesn’t mean that won’t change.
The minor-league season has begun and Gray is headlining the Triple-A Oklahoma City roster. Assuming the top prospect can blow by the competition in his first few outings, would the team reconsider? It’s not like he’s too young for his service-time clock to begin. He’s in his age-23 season.
A fastball-slider-changeup mix will work just fine in the back end of this Dodgers rotation. He owns a 2.37 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 38 career minor league games (37 starts). He really may not need much more refinement if he can prove early on in Triple-A that his stuff is still electric.
The only problem here, which is a problem for just about every pitcher who’s not an established MLBer, is the fact he may not be built up appropriately to provide length as a starter for the remainder of the season. His last full campaign was 2019 and he only threw 130 innings.
Then again, if you can get some work out of him before the trade deadline, maybe it’ll be worthwhile as a stopgap.
2. Tony Gonsolin
Tony Gonsolin was Baseball America’s Rookie of the Year in 2020 after he recorded a 2.31 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in his nine games (eight starts) with the Dodgers. Though he prompted hit the IL to start this season due to a shoulder issue, he’s currently on the mend.
He was used as an opener during the postseason, but now he’s being ramped up to return as a starter. Change of plans!
When May and Urias put a stranglehold on the final two rotation spots, everyone knew Gonsolin’s demotion was inevitable. He’s definitely a good pitcher, but his “stuff” isn’t comparable to those guys.
But now he could be called upon to be the Swiss Army arm of this pitching staff. Maybe he can last the whole year as a starter. Putting the right-hander in the No. 5 spot is surely a win — his short stint has already proven he’s better than most back-end guys out there.
And he’s already familiar in this situation. Though he only has 20 career games under his belt, he’s proven he can provide length, or at the very least, great effectiveness for 4-5 innings. And he’s already on the team, which makes the transaction process a whole lot easier.
You have to assume Gonsolin was always going to be considered for a role as the No. 4 or 5 guy if Urias and May hadn’t excelled the manner in which they did. Perhaps now is his chance.
1. Kyle Gibson
How about exploring the trade waters for the current MLB ERA leader among starters? The Dodgers want to maintain their status of having the best rotation arms in the game, right?
Truth be told, we have no idea what the Texas Rangers are doing, but after a month, they’re actually winning. They’re 14-17, which isn’t great, but it’s worlds better than anybody expected. Are they trying to contend in a weakened AL, and especially a weakened AL West? No clue.
But new general manager Chris Young has showed the baseball world he’s not afraid to wheel and deal, as evidenced by a number of offseason trades that helped the franchise in various ways.
If Kyle Gibson keeps performing at this rate, another deal could be in Young’s future. And he could take serious advantage of a contender with asking prices always on the rise for starters.
Through his first seven starts this year, the right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 35 strikeouts in 41.1 innings. He’s averaging nearly six innings per outing. He induces soft contact. He gets batters to whiff and chase. Hitters hardly get their barrels on his pitches. He ranks in the higher percentiles in regard to all of those statistics so far in 2021.
And with a five-pitch mix (fastball, cutter, slider, curveball, changeup), he’d be almost perfect to round off this Dodgers rotation. You’ve got righty flamethrowers in Buehler and Bauer. Crafty lefties in Kershaw and Urias. Why not add a softer-throwing righty who can dance his way all around the strike zone and get hitters to miss?
It may cost a lot, but the Dodgers are going for it all in 2021 and 2022 (Gibson is signed through 2022). What’s a dent in some prospect capital going to do for a team with arguably the best farm system in the game? If you want to maintain a juggernaut rotation, May needs to be replaced with someone who can carry the load and be just as effective.
Gibson’s career numbers aren’t impressive, but his stuff was always there. It appears he’s put it together in 2021. If it lasts for another month, the Dodgers should be hitting the phones.