Once you have a player like Trea Turner in your uniform for a day or two, it becomes all the more difficult to envision a future without him. It also gets tougher to imagine settling for a front-row seat to former top prospect Gavin Lux’s continued development when you can simply hand over a check to one of the league’s best instead.
So, let’s say the Dodgers go for it, as they have so often in recent history. Let’s say they buckle down and let Turner reach his walk year without an extension, instead paying Corey Seager $240 million for six years. Let’s say they pledge to Turner that they’re going to take care of him at season’s end, too. He swallows his pride and agrees to move to second base — knowing full well Seager will probably have to transfer there full-time in a year or two anyway.
Is there any place the Dodgers can send Lux, then, where he’ll be more appreciated?
Of course! People pay for pedigree in this game, and Lux has an overflowing amount of it. A consensus top-five prospect in the game as recently as 2019, he’s now posted three fairly underwhelming MLB campaigns, though, the longest of which has been this 82-game semi-slog in 2021.
Even a somewhat disappointing top prospect has real value, though, and Lux’s snoozer of a 2021 season has still been worth 1.5 WAR thanks in part to his defensive acumen and versatility. That’s roughly equivalent to one DJ LeMahieu.
If the Dodgers decide to save money and select Seager over Turner, or vice versa, then Lux will be the favorite to man second base in 2022. If the team pledges to go all-in? This might be time to sell their homegrown talent, with his value still somewhat maximized.
Also, extend Max Scherzer. What’ve you got to lose?
These 3 Gavin Lux trades make sense for the Dodgers after the Trea Turner trade.
3. Yankees-Dodgers Gavin Lux Swap
Still not sure Gleyber Torres is a shortstop, but don’t want to spend top dollar on Trevor Story? Then perhaps Gavin Lux is the acquisition for you! At the very least, he’ll bring rock-solid defense and an upgrade over Tyler Wade to the table.
For years, the Yankees have watched their infielders fall victim to soft-tissue injuries, followed by hard-tissue accidents, and they’ve never really shored things up significantly beyond the front lines. Lux, in exchange for some 40-man casualties, could be the move here.
This offseason, the Yankees will have a few intriguing Rule 5-eligible arms to offload, though they already took care of a few at the 2021 deadline. The Dodgers will be aiming comparatively high with Lux, and will certainly be asking for a top-10 prospect from New York, something they can have in the form of RHP Yoendrys Gomez. Perhaps, to sweeten the pot, the Dodgers can ask for a pitching prospect who either has to be added to the roster or shipped out for free?
We’re looking at Randy Vasquez, who was nearly included in the Joey Gallo trade until someone got cold feet at the last second. He’s entirely overmatched the High-A level, whiffing 38 men in 23 innings alongside a 2.74 ERA. That pair of projectable arms for Lux, as opposed to a “junk-for-junk” sell-low trade, makes a modicum of sense for both sides.