Dodgers: 3 NLCS-changing pitching mistakes Dave Roberts should regret
The defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers find themselves down 0-2 to the Atlanta Braves in the NLCS. After starting the series as the favorite, the Dodgers head back to Los Angeles having suffered two walk-off defeats.
Both games were low scoring and dominated by the pitchers. In Game 1, the Dodgers struck out seven times with 10 hits but only two runs in the 3-2 loss. In Game 2, Los Angeles struck out 10 times and only had four hits but scored four runs, largely because of their nine walks. Even still, it wasn’t enough, as they lost 5-4.
Fortunately for the Dodgers, this isn’t unfamiliar territory. Last year in the 2020 NLCS, also against the Braves, they lost the first two games. They even went down 3-1 before ultimately storming back to advance to the World Series and winning that as well. Though it feels particularly dangerous, the two-game deficit isn’t the end for this loaded Dodgers team.
Although home-field advantage is actually a factor this year, Los Angeles has the talent to come back, but they will have to clean up the mistakes they made through the first two games.
Some of those mistakes were manager Dave Roberts’ pitching decisions. In a series this close, every pitch counts and there is very little margin for error, as demonstrated by the two walk-off losses. As Roberts looks back at the first two games to see what he could have done different, there are a few pitching decisions that could have swung this series the other direction. Here are the three biggest that Roberts should regret.
3 NLCS pitching mistakes Dave Roberts should regret: Using Julio Urias out of the bullpen in Game 2
When Julio Urias came in to pitch the eighth inning of Sunday night’s game, it was immediately viewed as a head-scratching move by everyone. Urias, who is not only a starting pitcher, is scheduled to start Game 4 for the Dodgers this Wednesday. So when he came in, it was met with much criticism because it was taking innings off a starting pitcher’s arm when other people were available in the pen.
Roberts deemed it as a necessary gamble, arguing that Urias was the best man available to get them through the bottom of the eighth.
Well, the much-criticized gamble came under even more scrutiny when it didn’t pay off. Urias pitched the entire bottom of the eighth, throwing 14 pitches and allowing three hits and two runs. Those runs allowed the Braves to tie the game at four heading into the ninth.
Not only did Roberts deploy a starter in a situation that wasn’t absolutely necessary, but he ultimately chose the wrong man to get them through the inning, costing them the ball game.
3 NLCS pitching mistakes Dave Roberts should regret: Using Corey Knebel as an opener in Game 1
When the Dodgers listed reliever Corey Knebel as the starter for Game 1, it was clear that was intended to be yet another bullpen game. Knebel only pitched one inning and allowed one hit and one run on a wild pitch.
As far as Game 1 goes, the move nearly worked out, as much of the bullpen had a good day. In total, Los Angeles used eight pitchers and, combined, they allowed six hits and three runs. The third run just happened to be the walk-off run.
Where the regret should come in for Roberts is that he entered the game deciding to use much of his bullpen in Game 1, depleting them over the next couple of games in the series. The move puts immense pressure on starters to go deep into the game or it puts the team in tough situations like bringing in Urias to pitch three days before his scheduled start.
Deciding to go to a bullpen game in the first game of the series really put the team at a disadvantage, as they will now be trying to play catch up out of the pen for the remainder of the series. And if Max Scherzer has a dead arm and can’t provide length, that only further throws things into turmoil.
And speaking of…
3 NLCS pitching mistakes Dave Roberts should regret: Using Max Scherzer as a closer in Game 5 of the NLDS
Yes, the residual effects of this move from last round are still following the team today.
In Game 5 of the NLDS, starting pitcher Max Scherzer came in during the bottom of the ninth to close the door on the San Francisco Giants. In the moment, it was great, because it basically assured the team they would advance. But on Sunday night, the Dodgers began to see the tradeoffs of that decision.
During Scherzer’s Game 2 start of the NLCS, he wasn’t able to dominate for long. He pitched 4.1 innings and allowed four hits and two runs before being pulled from the game, saying his “arm was dead” in the aftermath.
It’s pretty clear that the decision to use Scherzer to close out the NLDS jeopardized his performance in Game 2. This once again forced Los Angeles to rely heavy on their bullpen, and just like in Game 1, it almost worked.
Moves that almost work aren’t going to help the Dodgers repeat, though. If they want to come back from this two-game deficit, Roberts is going to have to be more careful in his decision-making with who he sends to the mound and when. His decision has to focus more than just on the now, but also the future.
If the now is going to be prioritized, the Dodgers have to make sure that the gambles pay off. So far, through two games, they haven’t.