3 high-priced Dodgers who could get the axe after terrible 2022 starts

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 24: Jorge Alfaro #38 of the San Diego Padres looks on as Justin Turner #10 and Max Muncy #13 congratulate Cody Bellinger #35 of the Los Angeles Dodgers after his three-run homerun during the fifth inning of a game at PETCO Park on April 24, 2022 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 24: Jorge Alfaro #38 of the San Diego Padres looks on as Justin Turner #10 and Max Muncy #13 congratulate Cody Bellinger #35 of the Los Angeles Dodgers after his three-run homerun during the fifth inning of a game at PETCO Park on April 24, 2022 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)
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Despite an offensive drought and a number of costly injuries, the Los Angeles Dodgers lead the NL West and still possess the talent to make a postseason run. Nothing Andrew Friedman can’t fix at the trade deadline, if we’re being honest.

However, if we look ahead to the 2023 season, the Dodgers are in an interesting spot. They’ve set themselves up nicely where they can either run it back with the cast of players they currently have and still have money to spend … or they can tear it all down and spend huge money in free agency.

According to Baseball-Reference, the Dodgers have $87.7 million committed to their 2023 payroll (that doesn’t include options or players eligible for arbitration). But they only have a few players up for arb, so that won’t move the needle too much. If they pay everyone in arbitration and pick up all the contract options, they’ll still only be at $198 million, which leaves plenty of room to flex the financial muscle.

That bigger number includes Trevor Bauer’s $35.3 million player option, which likely won’t be a factor assuming his suspension is upheld. Among the others weighing down the roster, David Price’s $16 million, Craig Kimbrel’s $16 million and Tommy Kahnle’s $3.45 million will come off the books.

Additionally, Clayton Kershaw, Trea Turner, Andrew Heaney, Tyler Anderson, Daniel Hudson, Austin Barnes and others will hit free agency, so there will be a ton of holes to fill. Those guaranteed a contract beyond 2022 include Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Chris Taylor and Blake Treinen. That’s it.

It’s kind of crazy to even ponder this, but there are a few other veteran players who could be sent packing with their high-priced arb salaries/options after their terrible starts to 2022. Would the Dodgers actually do it?

These 3 high-priced Dodgers could be gone after 2022 thanks to slow starts

Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images)
Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) /

3. Max Muncy

In just a few months, Max Muncy went from Dodgers Team MVP to complete liability, likely stemming from his end-of-season elbow injury in 2021. So far in 2022, Muncy is hitting .157 with a .593 OPS and 68 OPS+. He posted just four homers, five doubles and 19 RBI through 52 games. Really bad.

For the 2023 season, Muncy has a team option worth $13 million (or a $1.5 million buyout). The Dodgers laugh at a salary as low as that, but they also like to ensure they’re getting the proper contributions. Across two of his last three seasons (2020 and 2022, 110 combined games), Muncy has accrued a weak 0.8 WAR (in 2021, he was worth a beautiful 4.4).

His three-year, $26 million contract signed not too long ago looked like a considerable bargain, but the Dodgers can likely spend less or the same amount for better production (and Muncy will be in his age-32 season next year, so it’s not like they’d be jumping ship too early).

Muncy’s been shaky on defense and a black hole in the middle of the lineup. If this persists throughout the remainder of the season, don’t be surprised if the Dodgers try their luck elsewhere with plentiful cash to make it happen.

Justin Turner #10 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
Justin Turner #10 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images) /

2. Justin Turner

Oof. Might get tarred and feathered for even mentioning this … but would the Dodgers really fork over $16 million for this Justin Turner, a shell of his former self?

An obvious Dodgers legend for his contributions over the last nine years, Turner has witnessed a never-before-seen regression in 2022 that might be a result of his season-ending hamstring injury in the NLCS.

He’s been a negative WAR player (-0.6 oWAR and -0.1 dWAR) and has hit just .212 with a .629 OPS and 74 OPS+ through 63 games. He’s only looked like his true self in flashes, which is a cause for concern in his age-37 season.

Turner’s $16 million team option for 2023 also has a $2 million buyout, which the Dodgers might just pay instead of investing an additional $14 million in the veteran’s age-38 season. There’s a reason the Dodgers didn’t fully bend on Turner’s new deal after the 2020 World Series victory. They have Miguel Vargas waiting in the wings at Triple-A and it could be time to usher in a new era.

The sad part is that Turner’s early returns in 2022 are writing that story without the Dodgers having to force the issue. This would be upsetting, but totally understandable should Turner fail to get back on track.

Cody Bellinger #35 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)
Cody Bellinger #35 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images) /

1. Cody Bellinger

To be frank, a good amount of Dodgers fans believed Cody Bellinger had a shot to be non-tendered last offseason. If not for an admirable postseason performance, he actually might’ve been.

But in 95 games last year, Bellinger was statistically one of the worst players in all of Major League Baseball. Not an exaggeration. He hit .165 with a .542 OPS and 44 OPS+. He couldn’t even positively contribute on the defensive side (-0.2 dWAR), which is usually his strong suit.

He hasn’t been as dreadful in 2022 — as evidenced by his 1.1 WAR through 62 games — but the Dodgers would be a bit off their rocker to pay Bellinger close to $20 million in 2023 based on his continued struggles on offense. He’s hitting just .203 with a .651 OPS and 78 OPS+, which isn’t going to cut it for one of the highest potential salaries in the league.

The Dodgers were likely hoping the dust settled from all his injuries in 2022, but Bellinger’s only been marginally better than he was in an all-time worst 2021. Wouldn’t that money be better used to pay Trea Turner, if possible? Don’t forget Aaron Judge is hitting free agency and has been playing a ton of center field this year. Brandon Nimmo could be a lower-cost option that has put up far better numbers over the last three seasons.

Los Angeles gave Bellinger a second chance at a steep price tag of $17 million for this year. It’s doubtful they’ll make that mistake again (for more money) if this continues for the remainder of the campaign.

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