3 Dodgers who should be closing playoff games over Craig Kimbrel

MIAMI, FLORIDA - AUGUST 27: Manager Dave Roberts of the Los Angeles Dodgers talks to pitcher Dustin May #85 after taking him out of the game against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on August 27, 2022 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Bryan Cereijo/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FLORIDA - AUGUST 27: Manager Dave Roberts of the Los Angeles Dodgers talks to pitcher Dustin May #85 after taking him out of the game against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on August 27, 2022 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Bryan Cereijo/Getty Images)
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For the first time in a long time, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a massive question mark at closer. Despite what disgruntled fans said at the time, Kenley Jansen was a beacon of consistency for over a decade, and even when he was struggling, he was still the defined closer.

That’s not the case this season. Andrew Friedman had a rare swing and miss in replacing Jansen with Craig Kimbrel, who has pitched pretty poorly all season and has not given fans any sort of confidence in the ninth inning outside of his “Let It Go” stretch.

Regardless of how they are dressing it up to the media, the Dodgers leaning on Kimbrel to close out postseason games would be malpractice by manager Dave Roberts. It’s his job to put the best guy out there for the job, not the guy who is being paid a big salary.

So what’ll be the plan when October arrives? The bullpen is fairly thin, so this question is a lot harder than many might realize. But roles will change over the next couple of weeks and could put the answer in focus for Roberts.

At the very least, Dodgers fans suspect there will be some sort of closer-by-committee situation when the competition is elevated beginning with the NLDS.

There are several Dodgers who should be closing playoff games over Craig Kimbrel

(Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
(Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images) /

3. Dustin May

This is the biggest “if” of the bunch and several things would have to happen. First, Tony Gonsolin would have to return before the playoffs and be able to slot into the starting rotation comfortably for a postseason series.

If that happens, the Dodgers would have a four-man rotation of Julio Urías, Clayton Kershaw, Tyler Anderson and Gonsolin, with Andrew Heaney filling in as the four-inning Urías-type fifth starter.

That shifts Dustin May to the bullpen, where he can thrive. May’s stuff is obviously electric and if he can focus on being his best for 2-3 innings at most then he could have elite results in October. While he has not been perfect in his return, he could end up being a lights-out member of the ‘pen that can come in and get the final 3-9 outs for the Dodgers.

The numbers do not lie: May is virtually unhittable when facing the order for the first time. Batters are hitting .086 with a .460 OPS and 31.1% K rate against May the first time through the order this season. In pitches 1-25, opposing batters are hitting even worse, clocking in at .050 with a .346 OPS.

With May’s injury, his nasty stuff, and tendency to dominate the first time through, using him as a high-leverage late-inning reliever would be far better than Kimbrel. But there are more traditional options as well.

(Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images)
(Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images) /

2. Evan Phillips

Evan Phillips is yet another Dodgers reclamation project that has turned a pitcher from being an unknown into being one of the best relievers in the sport. Phillips learned to throw a cutter with the Dodgers and the results have spoken for themselves this season.

Phillips has pitched in 58 games for the Dodgers in 2022 and is sporting a 1.26 ERA. He has struck out 66 batters in 57.1 innings of work, has walked only 14, and has a 0.75 WHIP, which is as elite as it comes.

The right-hander’s already great numbers are inflated by one bad outing that happened at the very beginning of the season. Against the Detroit Tigers on April 30, Phillips allowed three runs in only two-thirds of an inning. If you remove that one outing, Phillips would have a 0.79 ERA this season.

While Phillips is the best reliever on the Dodgers right now, based on how they have used him this season it doesn’t seem like they will be tasking him with the ninth inning. It seems more likely that Roberts will call on Phillips to be the high-leverage reliever that gets them out of a jam regardless of the timing.

We see this every October. The opposing team will get runners on second and third with one out in a two-run game in the sixth inning. That is when you unleash someone like Phillips to stop the bleeding and turn the ball over to the other relievers.

While that’s his more likely role, it’s still possible Blake Treinen can come back healthy (he should not pitch the ninth) and serve as that high-leverage guy with Phillips shifted to the ninth.

(Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

1. Chris Martin

The Dodgers acquired Chris Martin at the deadline from the Chicago Cubs in exchange for Zach McKinstry. Yet again, this trade has heavily favored the Dodgers thus far as Martin has pitched well in Los Angeles while McKinstry is hitting .214 with a .634 OPS with the Cubs this season.

Martin was not having the best year with the Cubs as he had a 4.31 ERA before being traded, but since coming out west the veteran right-hander has a 1.80 ERA. The Dodgers can fix almost anyone, which makes Kimbrel’s struggles even more concerning.

A 1.80 ERA is impressive enough, but Martin has been even better than that number has indicated — he’s just been a bit unlucky. Since joining the Dodgers, Martin has a wildly impressive 0.50 WHIP and a 1.41 FIP. Even with his stint in Chicago, Martin ranks 20th among all pitchers with 50 IP in FIP this season.

If Dustin May has to be used in the starting rotation with Tony Gonsolin being hurt and Evan Phillips ends up pitching high-leverage spots, then Martin has to be the guy that the Dodgers call on in the ninth inning.

In the end, Treinen cannot be fully trusted as he has not pitched all season and Kimbrel definitely should not be getting the ball in any close game over Martin, assuming he’s well rested and able to throw.

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