3 dark horse candidates for the last spot in the Dodgers' Opening Day rotation

San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Dodgers / Meg Oliphant/GettyImages
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The Dodgers' chances of acquiring another starting pitcher seem to wane a little more everyday, as developments about reportedly targeted trade pieces knock hopes down one by one. First, it was Corbin Burnes, a trade which has seemed dead in the water for a while now. Then, it was Shane Bieber, who agreed to a number to avoid arbitration with the Guardians that might be out of even the Dodgers' reach (at Bieber's current health level). Then came Dylan Cease, who the White Sox have flipped-flopped on trading throughout the offseason.

If they can't manage to find a new arm, the rotation will include Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Tyler Glasnow, Bobby Miller, and Emmet Sheehan on Opening Day, but the Dodgers will still need fifth starter and will have to look inward and depend on candidates inside the organization to step up until Walker Buehler can return. Although the Dodgers can never be counted out when it comes to securing the players they want, it's still understandable to wonder what the rotation might look like if they can't.

3 dark horse candidates for the last spot in the Dodgers' Opening Day rotation

Gavin Stone

Stone's first foray into the majors didn't go very well. The team brought him up a few times starting in May and ending in September and gave him the ball as a starter four times before putting him in the bullpen. Stone, a fifth-round draft pick for the Dodgers in 2020, hit his stride in the minor leagues in 2022 and exceeded expectations by rocketing up from High-A to Triple-A in one season while maintaining a 1.48 ERA on the year. MLB Pipeline had him ranked as the Dodgers' No. 18 prospect going into that season, but it bumped him up to No. 4 to begin 2023.

It was that momentum that led the Dodgers to give him a shot at the majors in 2023. However, over 31 innings, he accumulated a 9.00 ERA. That seemed to shake his confidence back in the minors, because he had his worst year there by far — a 4.74 ERA over 100 2/3 innings. The Dodgers continued to give him chances throughout the season, but he did give up three runs in his last appearance against the Giants.

At the moment, Stone is still on the Dodgers' 40-man roster and possibly in their active roster plans, although he would certainly be kicked back down to the minors if the Dodgers acquire a starter. With so much undecided, he could also be an option for the team to give the ball to as a fifth man if his spring training looks special. He has more major league experience than fellow prospects Nick Frasso and Landon Knack, who are expected to land in the majors in 2024 and were moved to the 40-man to protect them from the Rule 5 draft, and he could just need a little more time to get comfortable at the major league level.

Nick Frasso

Frasso, the Dodgers' No. 3 prospect in 2023, has yet to pitch in the major leagues but is currently on their 40-man roster as a Rule 5 draft protectee from back in December. He was a fourth-round draft pick for the Blue Jays in 2020 and was traded to the Dodgers in 2022 with another prospect, Moises Brito, in exchange for reliever Mitch White and prospect Alex De Jesus. He was ranked No. 25 for the Blue Jays in 2021 but shot up the rankings when he came over to the Dodgers.

He was almost unhittable in A-ball and High-A with the Blue Jays, with a 0.76 ERA over 36 2/3 innings before he was traded. With the Great Lakes Loons, he leveled out a little and pitched 5 2/3 innings for a 1.59 ERA, but the Dodgers were clearly excited about what they were seeing, considering he was promoted to Double-A to close out the season. However, he struggled a lot more there and put up a 5.40 ERA. He started 2023 at that level, but finished the year in Triple-A before being moved to the major league roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft.

Despite the fact that he hasn't been quite as dominant in the higher minors as he was in the lower ones, the Dodgers could take a chance on him as their No. 5 if they're wary about giving the ball back to Stone after his struggles last year. It would likely only be a temporary measure, but it could give the team a preview at what he's capable of in MLB.

Walker Buehler

Yup. The textbook definition of a dark horse to replace Buehler is ... Buehler himself.

Buehler's timeline for return after missing all of 2023 following a second Tommy John has never been very clear. Although newest estimations have him back in April or May and have noted he's not quite on schedule for recovery, he did hint at a few appearances during spring training. Could Buehler surprise everyone by accelerating in his recovery to the point that he could be ready by Opening Day? Probably not, but also...maybe so? He's been spotted throwing at Dodger Stadium, and both he and the team have emphasized the hard work he's doing to return. If he looks good during a few spring training innings, might the team adjust their timeline to have him back at the start of the season?

Although the realistic, and probably safer answer for both Buehler's arm and fans' expectations is 'no,' it's fun to dream. It's more likely that we'll have to wait until May to see him again, and hopefully the return will be sweet. Until then, the Dodgers will have to take a chance on some internal candidates if they fail to secure another starter, at least until Buehler can be back full-time. It's not an ideal situation, and the team does still seem to be searching for another arm, but it could also be interesting to watch a newbie make a start for a team so dominated by veterans.

If not Buehler, this slot could easily be occupied by INSERT FRINGE FREE AGENT STARTER HERE (Michael Lorenzen?).

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