The Los Angeles Dodgers have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games and have fallen out of the lead in the NL West. No, it's not the San Diego Padres who now hold the top spot in the division, it's the Arizona Diamondbacks.
They'll try to find some level of momentum over the weekend when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies in a three-game set.
Michael Grove (8.14 ERA) will get the start on Friday in Philadelphia and he'll take on Ranger Suarez (5.47 ERA) of the the Phillies.
Lets dive into the odds for the game and then I'll give you my best bet.
Dodgers vs. Phillies odds, run line, and total
Dodgers vs. Phillies prediction and pick
You might see Michael Grove's 8.14 ERA and run to your sportsbook to bet on the Phillies. I'd advise you to hold on that. Despite Groves' struggles, I actually think the bet to place is on Los Angeles.
Sure, Grove's ERA is bad, but let's look a little bit deeper in this. He has a 4.91 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), which tells me he hasn't been as bad as his ERA may indicate. I firmly believe there's at least some level of positive regression for him in the short term.
The biggest reason I'm backing the Dodgers in this spot has been how good they've been against left-handed pitchers. Over the last 30 days, they lead the Majors in OPS at 1.005 while sporting a batting average of .289 over that span.
Now, they'll face a lefty in Ranger Suarez, who has a 5.47 ERA through his first five starts. He struggled in two starts against the Dodgers last season as well, posting a 5.40+ ERA in two starts against them.
Give me the Dodgers as a pick'em in Philadelphia on Friday.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.