Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction and odds for Tuesday, June 27

The Dodgers offense is set to rake at Coors Field on Tuesday, but will Clayton Kershaw hold up? We break it down.

Jun 20, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw (22)
Jun 20, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw (22) / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers are three games off the NL West lead as the team heads to Colorado for a three-game series against the Rockies.

Clayton Kershaw is slated to start for this one, fresh off a shutout outing against the Angels. Can he avoid the hitter-friendly conditions at Coors Field en route to another strong outing? The Dodgers lineup will have a clear edge over Rockies starter Connor Seabold, but can Kershaw keep this under the double-digit total?

Here's our breakdown for Dodgers vs. Rockies:

Dodgers vs. Rockies odds, run line and total

Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction and pick

Seabold is as up-and-down as it comes this season, but the real issue is that he can't generate strikeouts at a high clip. He is punching out fewer than seven batters per nine innings and walking more than three.

He will face a Dodgers lineup that is only hitting .227 in July, but at Coors Field I don't trust Seabold to hold off the bats of Los Angeles with his alarming fly ball rate of 65%. Further, he is allowing home runs on 13% of those fly balls.

The reason for the over, though, is Kershaw's underlying metrics. The left hander is on a run of good form, but his xERA is nearly a run higher than his actual ERA (3.51 vs. 2.72). Kershaw has stranded 84% of runners on base, but that's an unsustainable mark that can lead to issues against a Rockies team that is predictably far better at home at the plate. Colorado is hitting .278 at Coors Field this season.

The Dodgers are the superior team, but I think we see plenty of runs from both sides on Tuesday.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.