Reds vs. Dodgers prediction and odds for Sunday, July 30 (Target total)

The rubber match between the first place Dodgers and upstart Reds is ripe for runs, here's why.

Jul 29, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) is
Jul 29, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) is / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
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The Dodgers and Reds have played a thrilling series, a pair of one score affairs, how will the third one go on Sunday?

Each team sends out a struggling young right hander with the Dodgers hoping Michael Grove can settle into a role while the Reds counter with Graham Ashcraft. Both pitchers have been prone to allowing the long ball this season, will that play a role on Sunday?

Here are the odds and our best bet for Sunday's matchup:

Reds vs. Dodgers odds, run line and total

Reds vs. Dodgers prediction and pick

Both teams are scorching at the plate, each top 10 in OPS and home runs in the month of July. Each club will get to feast on struggling pitching on Sunday, leading me to the over.

  • First, the wind is set to be blowing out at seven miles per hour of Dodgers Stadium
  • Reds' starter Graham Ashcraft has struggled all season, posting an ERA of 5.64 this season.
  • Most of Ashcraft's issues stems from his lack of control, he is walking nearly four batters per nine innings, and his inability to avoid hard contact, letting up 1.36 home runs per nine innings on a 16% home run to flu ball rate.
  • However, Grove may struggle as well, posting a 6.19 ERA in 13 appearances this season with a near three walks per nine inning mark and home run rate of 1.43 per nine innings.

With hitter friendly conditions as well as hitter friendly pitchers, I'm backing the over on Sunday afternoon.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.