Dodgers: 3 biggest mistakes LAD made this offseason
The Los Angeles Dodgers put together a fairly special team this offseason, but let some old friends go and replaced them in questionable fashion.
Still, when the Opening Day confetti settled, you’d have been hard-pressed to call anything Andrew Friedman did for his title defense a “mistake”; being projected to win a record-setting number of games doesn’t typically happen accidentally.
However, in the cold light of mid-June, LA has seen their depth tested, their stars shredded, and a new foe emerge from within the division; what was once thought to be a Dodgers-Padres fight to 110 wins has now encountered a resurgent Giants season very few people saw coming.
The Dodgers have shrugged off the coldest of cold patches in early May to be more than respectable so far, and they’ve got some under-the-radar players to thank for that — namely Albert Pujols, Matt Beaty, Chris Taylor and a Max Muncy MVP campaign that really helped stem the tide. That said, these regrets leak to the top of the list, considering the various states of the team’s depth and the sheer amount of money they spent on one target late in the game.
3 biggest mistakes the Dodgers made in 2020’s free agency cycle.
3. Passing on Michael Brantley/Left Field Depth
We could also retitle this section, “Why isn’t AJ Pollock more helpful?” If he were contributing to his full capacity, this wouldn’t be quite such a problem area, but … alas.
Joc Pederson and Kiké Hernández were both allowed to depart, and they’ve each been varying degrees of impactful in Chicago and Boston. Hernández is likely waiting until October to make his favorite type of impact, but Pederson … would sure look nice on this roster right now at the price he was paid ($7 million for the year).
Pederson, with 11 homers, 32 RBI and a 110 OPS+ did not really “price himself out” of anywhere; the Dodgers simply chose to move on. When Pollock plays (48 games), he’s been the offense’s weak link (which stands out more when the entire unit is so strong), batting .262 with five homers and a 104 OPS+. Without Cody Bellinger and Corey Seager for extended stretches, the resurgent Taylor has moved into center, with the middle infield instead being manned by a combination of Gavin Lux, Zach McKinstry, and assorted Triple-A players.
In mid-May, when the team signed Pujols, they were so desperate for left field depth that they also snagged the ineffective Yoshi Tsutsugo. Having a reliable lefty who could float in and out of left field could stabilize the team’s “weak spot” and provide a more permanent complement to Pollock. We understand we’re asking for a lot here, but … $16 million for Michael Brantley? If the Dodgers simply do that, we’re not entertaining a platoon or floating options. Pollock could’ve been traded for pitching depth or relegated to roving duty.
In just another ho-hum incredibly good season, Brantley is leading the league with a .353 average, and would look much better splitting the mountains in Dodger Blue. Stealing from the Astros and giving to the World Champions … would’ve been nice.
Even if the solution wasn’t quite this high-profile, though, the Dodgers could’ve done better than a mid-season pivot to Tsutsugo and a few desperation call-ups.
2. Letting Alex Wood Walk to Giants
Didn’t think the Giants would be good. We get it! Same thing the Yankees did with the Red Sox and Adam Ottavino.
But … whoops. You fortified them.
So far, though Alex Wood has reverted back to being a “solid innings-eater” instead of ace incarnate (like … Kevin Gausman? Really, that’s their ace?), he’s still quite good, whiffing 65 Ks in 66 innings and posting a solid WHIP of 1.197. Losing Wood has been a double-edged sword for Los Angeles; they never could’ve foreseen their starting pitching depth getting tested in this manner, and they also could’ve never foreseen San Francisco being good enough to be able to use a roving six-inning pitcher like the crafty lefty.
When Wood walked away for $3 million guaranteed in San Fran, the team believed Tony Gonsolin, David Price, Julio Urias and Dustin May would all be competing for two spots in the most vaunted rotation this century had ever seen. Instead, Gonsolin came up lame and hasn’t been stretched out or effective. Ditto Price, who’s fully been committed to relief, and wasn’t really in the competition to begin with it turns out. May’s injury was extremely unfortunate, though certainly falls into the category of “Things That Happen in Baseball in 2021”. Urias? His start was wonderful, but his hard-hit rates have been trending downwards lately while his ERA’s risen.
Don’t thumb your nose at pitching depth — or divisional rivals — is basically what we’re saying.
And speaking of …
1. Choosing Trevor Bauer Over Collecting Depth/’Pen Arms
After hanging back through the majority of free agency, pleased with their internal options, the Dodgers starkly reversed course at the very end of the process and signed Trevor Bauer to a short-ish-term behemoth of a contract.
Was it a good use of money? Depends on your view of how baseball money should be spent. We tend to believe that, with no salary cap, any owner should be willing to go above and beyond to help their team win.
Of course, at the time, Bauer seemed like a luxury, but he may turn out to be at least somewhat fool’s gold. The Dodgers couldn’t have seen MLB’s crackdown on sticky substances coming, but now those days have arrived, and Bauer hasn’t been the same pitcher since entering a level playing field.
Whether you believe in his bounce back or not, you can’t deny his $34 million could’ve bought Los Angeles plenty more. Perhaps one or two back-end starting pitchers? Carlos Rodon was available for a song, and might win the AL Cy Young. It’s Captain Hindsight to suggest that move instead, but there were plenty of alternatives who aren’t equivalent lightning rods.
Beyond Bauer and Blake Treinen, the Dodgers mostly went diving for lottery tickets this offseason, especially in the ‘pen. Maybe LA should’ve splashed this cash on Liam Hendriks instead of trying Corey Knebel and Tommy Kahnle (still rehabbing)? A powerful bullpen arm — or even a second-tier one — could’ve helped stem the tide in early May, and two mid-range starters would’ve helped more than Bauer, especially if he’s regressing.