3 Dodgers hitters to blame for surprising offensive dip

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 30: Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers looks on after striking out during the ninth inning against the Detroit Tigers at Dodger Stadium on April 30, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 30: Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers looks on after striking out during the ninth inning against the Detroit Tigers at Dodger Stadium on April 30, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
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Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
Max Muncy #13 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /

For the second consecutive season, the Los Angeles Dodgers don’t look like exactly who we thought they’d be.

Now, granted, that’s not all bad. Because, for the second consecutive season, there was ridiculous, floating hyperbole about the team dominating the discourse. In 2021, the Dodgers won 106 games and came up a hair short in the race for the NL West, even though they eventually outlasted their chief competition in San Francisco.

That still left them below the expectations set by pundits like Bill Plaschke, who thought we might be witnessing a record-setting World Series reckoning that would bring tall men to their knees.

Entering 2022, most of the questions surrounding the team were pitching-related, considering the back end of the rotation would be manned by seven or eight marginal arms by design. Instead, the issues have mainly been with the lineup, which was widely expected to run over the National League, powered by Trea Turner and the last-minute addition of Freddie Freeman.

As well covered by Blake Harris, the Dodgers offense entered play on May 3 ranked closer to the middle of the pack in most statistics. LA’s record-setting lineup is:

11th in OPS (.705), 9th in wOBA (.318) and 10th in wRC+ (110). Their 21 home runs are the 14th most and their 102 runs scored are the ninth most.

Is the sky falling? Nope! At 14-7 entering a rivalry set with the Giants, the Dodgers have kept pace with their chief adversary, and still have plenty more bounce backs to bank on as the summer heats up.

It’s just a bit surprising to see the offense mostly teetering and scraping by rather than dominating on a nightly basis, and these three players have been the chief culprits.

3 Dodgers most responsible for team’s offensive swoon in 2022

3. Max Muncy

In 2021, the Dodgers’ playoff hopes faded because they lost their MVP, Max Muncy, late in the year and couldn’t replace his production.

In 2022, Muncy might need to be replaced intentionally.

Through his first 20 games and 66 at-bats, Muncy is hitting just .136, though his .313 OBP remains spectacularly distanced from his average. The man takes his walks, but he’s done precious little damage so far this season, slugging just .273 with a .586 OPS. His Statcast numbers are mainly in the blue, too, with his hard-hit percentage and average exit velocity ranking in the 37th and 44th percentiles, respectively.

Muncy recently asked for the league’s scoreboard operators to show him some respect and replace his low batting average with more telling new-school statistics. Unfortunately, that wouldn’t do much for his case thus far in 2022.

It’s obvious he still has plenty of rust to shake off after a catastrophic elbow injury knocked him off the field at the worst possible time last season. This isn’t a long-term prognosis or a sweeping judgment. It’s just to note that Muncy’s dragging down the offense’s averages significantly at the moment.

Justin Turner #10 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
Justin Turner #10 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images) /

2. Justin Turner

Whatever you do, don’t look at 37-year-old Justin Turner’s Statcast profile — ahh, too late. Already linked it. Damn, that luck!

Across the board, Turner’s metrics are markedly down, and his age will lead any Dodger fan to question whether the extended miracle of his emergence as a star-level regular has finally wrapped up.

Turner’s counting stats are equally miserable; the venerated veteran has hit just a single homer with a .499 OPS through his first 75 at-bats, and his expected slugging percentage is down nearly 200 points from 2020 (.551 to .367).

The good news? The Dodgers have top prospect Miguel Vargas waiting in the minor-league wings to man the hot corner, whenever Turner is ready to recede into a mentorship role with grace. The bad news? Nobody wants that time to be now. Turner’s supposed to be spry enough to continue leading this nine-man unit for another season until his contract expires and we can all revel in the uncomfortable decision surrounding his team option.

Instead, those who advocated trading him after 2021 or, more ruthless yet, letting him walk after 2020 to an interested team like the Brewers, seem somewhat vindicated. The emotional angle on this whole process won’t allow fans to ever come to a clear-headed conclusion, though, and it would be best for all parties if Turner just started raking again.

Cody Bellinger #35 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)
Cody Bellinger #35 of the Los Angeles Dodgers (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images) /

1. Cody Bellinger

One week, you’re on top, soaking in Player of the Week honors.

The next? The chalk has settled, you’ve struck out 28 times in 77 at-bats, and no one’s really sure just how mixed this bag really is.

Bellinger has objectively bounced back in the early going from a season where he took a victory away from his team in the WAR department (they, uh, lost the division by one win). Still, though, his .716 OPS is behind the slumping Mookie Betts, and as a power-first hitter, that’s supposed to be the foremost thing he provides. Belli’s also walked just six times, giving him an unsightly .274 OBP.

In essence, even his rebound April wasn’t very modern, and he’s looked more like a throwback player who’s only really helping when he’s mashing.

In Bellinger’s last seven games, specifically, he’s gone 3-for-26 with two bombs, 10 strikeouts, and a single walk, batting a cool .115.

The Three True Outcomes are fun when the Good Outcome is happening, but Bellinger’s recent output has looked more like Rob Deer than Roberto Clemente. This is still a former MVP we’re talking about. Don’t let the devastation of 2021 cloud what this guy can theoretically do at his peak.

It hasn’t been all bad so far in 2022, but Bellinger’s certainly been one of the driving forces behind this week’s offensive numbers — and just when it seemed like he’d turned a corner, too.

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